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Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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(also, there is nothing inherent in the principles of science about determinism...) |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
I feel pretty wierd after writing a three pages long monologue ...
[ May 25, 2004, 17:08: Message edited by: Varadail ] |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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Still it illustrates that the question of existance or not existance of physical objects can be scientifically approached, with certain degree of success, in pure probability field, which was the point of my example. |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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That reason is that the words "likely" and "possible" imply a probabalistic treatment of an existential question, which is invalid. It is meaningless, for example, to conclude that there is a 60% chance that there is a god. Either there is a god or there isn't - there's no 60% about it. The same applies to questions of historical fact. You can't say that its likely that the Great Flood occurred, because it has already either happened or not. What you can describe is your uncertainty in the matter, which is different (being a statement about your knowledge rather than about the alleged event). ... </font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="sans-serif, arial, verdana">Yes, the first was a statement of uncertainty, and the second a statement of odds. It's still useful to think of hypotheses as having a "chance" of being correct, based on what knowledge you have and how sure you are about each element of a hypothesis. You can also apply the same logic and language to uncertainty about past events about which you have imperfect evidence. Conversely, you can take probability and express it as uncertainty that something will happen. So, if you insist I say that we all not being Norfleet is something our victim can be very certain is not true, then I can compare that degree of certainty to the extreme certainty that I will lose the Dom II challenge I described. PvK [ May 25, 2004, 19:21: Message edited by: PvK ] |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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PvK |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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... </font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="sans-serif, arial, verdana">It's only valid if you insist on mistakenly taking it literally, as if I were asserting that it is true that there is an actual chance involved in whether something is true or not. But that's just misunderstanding my expression. I may say "chance", but I mean in terms of a perspective with imperfect knowledge, and I am talking about uncertainty rather than asserting that reality is constantly reinventing itself around the observer's viewpoint like a dream or an annoyingly programmed game like GTA3 (where you can catch it doing it simply by turning around http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/tongue.gif ). PvK |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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Whether events are philosophically deterministic or not is irrelevant, because knowledge is never perfect, and is frequently a very uncertain approximation. You can't predict a jury unless they are all robots running a computer program which you understand and control. And even then, there's a "chance" (i.e. unknowable uncertainty without super-human knowledge) they'll crash, especially if they're running Windohs. PvK |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
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But allow me to try to briefly clarify a few issues (this thread IS supposed to be OT, right http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/icon7.gif ). Quantum mechanics does not as such allow for creation of matter/energy, does not say anything about the dimensions of our universe, and does not say anything about big bang. Quantum mechanics is the almost 100 year old non-relativistic theory which is concerned with particles/wave duality, wave-function developement+collapses (giving non-deterministic results), and things like that. (OK, maybe that was a lousy explanation, but its hard to make it short+precise). Anyway, I dont know that the big bang theory has necessarily done anything to our matter/energy conservation. But it does certainly bring up many puzzles that need to be answered by the cosmological and particle physics theories of tomorrow. The need for more than our 3+1=4 dimensions is put forward by string theories. These are a collection of theories that we suspect might in the very long run replace the particle physics theories of today (among other things they might finally give us a particle physics description of gravity). Anyway, anyone with an hour to spare who wants an extremely pedagogical introduction to all this (with cartoons and stuff), should check out particleadventure.org. Sorry if this is too OT for the OT thread. http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/icon7.gif |
Re: OT: An Existential Dilemma
I called that number they didn't know any Tris or anything about your book.
I think you made that up. However I did win a free vacation, all I had to do was send them $400 cash as a deposit. Cool deal! |
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