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-   -   OT: Runaway black hole! (http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/showthread.php?t=7859)

Perrin November 20th, 2002 06:18 PM

OT: Runaway black hole!
 
MSNBC Article

Ragnarok November 20th, 2002 06:25 PM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Very interesting read.

Ed Kolis November 20th, 2002 10:11 PM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Oh, good, I was afraid your galaxy map had started rearranging itself on its own! http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/icon10.gif

Never knew there were any black holes this near by, though... should make for some good scientific study!

Kamog November 22nd, 2002 08:17 AM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
That is a very interesting article. I wonder how they were able to figure out the path the black hole takes through the galaxy? Even though it is moving at high speed, it must take billions of years to complete one cycle through the galaxy. Given that we have observed the object for only a tiny fraction of time relative to its orbit, it must be extremely difficult to deduce its complete path.

Hmm, well, I suppose that if they are able to determine the object's speed and direction, we should be able to calculate its path. They probably modeled the galaxy to be a radially symmetrical disk with a bulge in the center and thinning out at its edges. Similarly, there will be a mass density gradient that is high at the center and decreasing toward the edge. At any particular point in the black hole's trajectory, the influence of gravity from the galaxy can be modeled as a single point in the center containing all the mass within the circle drawn from the center to the radius of the black hole's current location. As the black hole moves along, the radius will change, so the force of gravity will continuously have to be re-calculated at small increments. Of course, we will have to assume that the black hole never comes close enough to any stars or other objects to significantly alter its smooth path through the galaxy.

Will November 22nd, 2002 10:37 AM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Remember, there's a lot of stuff moving around out there. In order to predict the orbit of the black hole, you can look at the movement of other stellar bodies in the black hole's immediate path. That will allow you to refine the path, so you can look ahead a little further, allowing you to refine a little more, so you can look a little further... and so on. They don't have to (wrongly) assume that the galaxy is homogeneous. There are spots with lots of clusters, and spots that are fairly empty.

oleg November 22nd, 2002 07:14 PM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Quote:

Originally posted by Kamog:
That is a very interesting article. I wonder how they were able to figure out the path the black hole takes through the galaxy? Even though it is moving at high speed, it must take billions of years to complete one cycle through the galaxy. Given that we have observed the object for only a tiny fraction of time relative to its orbit, it must be extremely difficult to deduce its complete path.

Hmm, well, I suppose that if they are able to determine the object's speed and direction, we should be able to calculate its path. They probably modeled the galaxy to be a radially symmetrical disk with a bulge in the center and thinning out at its edges. Similarly, there will be a mass density gradient that is high at the center and decreasing toward the edge. At any particular point in the black hole's trajectory, the influence of gravity from the galaxy can be modeled as a single point in the center containing all the mass within the circle drawn from the center to the radius of the black hole's current location. As the black hole moves along, the radius will change, so the force of gravity will continuously have to be re-calculated at small increments. Of course, we will have to assume that the black hole never comes close enough to any stars or other objects to significantly alter its smooth path through the galaxy.

<font size="2" face="Verdana, Helvetica, sans-serif">You can estimate speed from Dopler shift and distance from paralax.

Krsqk November 22nd, 2002 07:23 PM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
There shouldn't be any Doppler shift from a black hole. http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/icon7.gif It's buddy star would shift, but that would change from red to blue and back to red as it orbits around the hole. I guess we might be able to figure what we would expect the shift to be from its orbit and calculate the speed based on the difference in actual and predicted figures. [/handwaving]

zen. December 3rd, 2002 12:12 AM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Great article! Wouldn't it be funny (not in a ha-ha kind of way) if that black hole was some side effect of some war where someone brought a starnuke to the party?

Ah, SEIV applied to real life. heh heh

Pardon the non-technical speculation. Back to your regularly scheduled physics/astronomy lessons. http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/images/icons/icon12.gif

zen

Rio December 3rd, 2002 04:03 PM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Anyone else reminded of a giant Pac-man floating through the galaxy, eating stars?

President_Elect_Shang December 4th, 2002 02:29 AM

Re: OT: Runaway black hole!
 
Um, very nice and colorful reading. Maybe a little too much so. I have two questions:

1) How pure is the empirical data in that article now [that the press] has translated it to mass reading material?

2) If it is so pure as to warrent a newspaper headline where is the same data in a respected science journal? Must be in one I don't read or maybe the press got the story first.

In other words: I doubt the validity of the article. Though I'm sure the truth is just as pleasent to read.


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