I just did a 20 Turn Capital Test with Order 3 and Turmoil 3, the Order 3 Dominion actually got Unrest before the Tumoil 3 Dominion and it was minor. I don't see how Turmoil is producing unrest if for 20 turns it didn't in a capital, but I'll try it with non-capital provinces (If the Capital is hardcoded to get less unrest). I'll now go take two provinces each under Turmoil and Order 3, then play 20 turns.

If you care for the specifics, it's Luck 3 as well. So unless Luck has a negative "unrest" factor, I don't see it changing.