[Gateway103]

Originally posted by Saber Cherry:
Chance of hitting a given square:

(1-(1-((2+prec)/(2+prec+1.5*range))))*(1-(prec/100)^2))*(prec/100)^.2

Doesn't it look about like that to you? You have to actually watch the battle replays to get a good feel for the exact equations, not just look at the results...

What a complicated formula... wait, it simplifies to ((2+prec)/(2+prec+1.5*range))*(1-(prec/100)^2))*(prec/100)^.2 , as the two 1's are redundant... wait a minute, there is one extra ) after the squared turn, was that a typo or something else (could explain the redudant 1's)

Btw, what is the highest possible precision in game short of prec100 spells? Btw, if I were to intepret the extra ) as a simple typo and ignore it, then the formula says maximum probabilty is at prec 40~50 (depends on Range), and actually starts to drop after that (prec100 has zilch ^_^) A result of regression fitting perhaps, albeit intriguing.

-Gateway103

[ March 16, 2004, 07:42: Message edited by: Gateway103 ]