
May 25th, 2004, 04:22 AM
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General
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,013
Thanks: 17
Thanked 25 Times in 22 Posts
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Re: Best Province targeting ritual?
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Originally posted by Norfleet:
I'm familiar with the "listed numbers". Unfortunately, they don't really correspond to actual behavior.
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I'm still waiting for your evidence that they don't. Where's your statistical analysis that shows that actual trend. Oh right, it's just more of your bull****.
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Even if you take luck, horrible events happen anyway, and often. You can claim it doesn't all you want, but the fact is, you hear about this all the time. It's a proven fact: Luck does not prevent bad events, they'll happen anyway.
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This argument is yet another logical fallacy from Norfleet. This time it's an appeal to popularity, as people don't complain about bad events when they take a misfortune scale, only when luck. It's also a hasty generalization as you haven't performed enough trials to understand the true nature of the problem.
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When it comes to things that are "random", and I use this word in quotes for very specific reasons, I don't really put much faith in what anyone says the "odds" are. Randomness makes a great cover for designer sadism.
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And this is an appeal to motive fallacy.
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