I don't read the posting in Graeme's link the same as everyone else I guess. This is the original posting that convinced me only home province matters at all.
Quote:
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Home province Luck determines number of events and good/bad effect IIRC. Scales of the province restricts event effects.
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(It's on page 5)
This seems very clear and straightforward to me. Did he make a mistake in this statement? The only thing province scales would seem to do is restrict whether nor not the extreme events (i.e. barbarian hordes, caspar of the cave) are allowed there or not. Since most events both good and bad are allowed with any scales, this wouldn't have a huge effect.