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Old March 1st, 2005, 02:31 PM
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Arralen Arralen is offline
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Default Re: Random Magic Paths - is it truly random?

So, folks, lets stir up the discussion again:

Ongoing game, Jotunheim, 3 turns.

1st turn - building a Vaetti Hag: Blood-1
2nd turn - doing the same ..... result the same ..
3rd turn - same again .. and the same again...

Likelyhood for this happening: 1,56%

As far as my experience goes, if I keep on building Vaetti Hags, I'll get 1 more Blood-1, then it will switch to some other path. If I build commanders in newly conquered provinces, I'll get some other path this turn. If someone else does I-don't-know-what, I'll get another path.

But after some time, the effect will reoccur. But it will get less likely, as more and more things are happening each turn, what seemingly influences the random number generation.

And it's eactly this effect that I have seen way to often to dismiss it as "statistical". If you do big test buying some hundred units, things will equal out o.c. . Obviously, short term randomization is bugged. But the error occures randomly
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