Hehehe, it's rather fun to see threads such as this one take leaps where it does, over the fence and then back in.
I stumbled over this report from RAND, well actually the link was given to me by another. It might be interesting, sketching up the general perception of a conflict before the US might interrupt.
http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1217/
Here, one also discusses the issue of China not having the amphibious strength to launch an invasion. The idea is that after securing sea- and air superiority, a reverse Dunkerque (sp?) is launched! Quite interesting, all of this.
God, I hate these smileys...