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Dedas said:
Well, as a philosophy teacher I just want to add that all speculation on what is to come in the future is based on what have passed, which really doesn't tell us anything about the future as it is the past and not the future. Even if you add millions of past events together it is still the past you are "foretelling" with. The future hasn't happened yet, it is still unknown.
And saying that one future is more "likely" to happen than another future is subjected to the same problem (the problem of induction), in that the predictions are based on past events. The future as a factor is still not precent in the calculations.
Saying that the sun will go up the next morning is not certain, but it is not even (logically) more or less probable. The universe could disappear, and alien armada could destroy it or whatever. Just because we haven't seen it before must not mean that it can't happen or even that it is more or less probable. I would say it could happen or it could not - 50%/50%. 
You could of course choose to believe in probability (and it seems wise) as you see the "truth" of it all day happening. But it is just that - belief. I just happen to believe in logic.
Sorry for my "off-topicness", but I couldn't resist to say something about the fascinating thing that is probability.
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As a gamer since an early age, and a Philosophy major for one academic quarter
, I would say this is a good example of different disciplines (Philosophy versus Mathematics) using different definitions of the same words (here "probability" and "likeliness"). I offer a counter-example, from the discipline of gambling: Since we know that betting on the sun rising would be extra-silly since if it doesn't, we'll probably all be dead, I will offer to bet you any monetary amount up to my current net worth, every day for the rest of my life, that any particular easily-observable star in the sky will continue to exist in the sky the next day. Limits: one bet per day; each bet is void if for some reason we cannot confirm the presence of the star due to weather or technological/informational problems.
PvK