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llamabeast said:
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Exactly 3 castings is .96*.96*.04
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You mean 3*.96*.96*.04 
Sorry, couldn't help it 
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No, he was right. If the order doesn't matter, then yeah you'd times the odds by three. However, he's assuming EXACTLY 3 castings, which means only the last casting can be a success. Ergo, order is important, and the only order possible is Failure, Failure, Success. If you want to know the odds of succeeding in three or less trials, you need to independently figure out the odds of succeeding an exactly 1 and 2 trials and add them together (with 3 trials, of course).
On another note, maybe its possible to meet both positions halfway. A, it stinks to die due to a game mechanism clearly designed for other situations. B, it can be thematic and the spell works fine as it is.
My idea would be to simply start "mindless dissolution" on turn 50. This is the rule that mindless beings left with out a commander have a 33% chance of spontaneously dieing every turn. In addition they won't move and will only attack units already adjacent to them. This means any individual soulless unit will only have a ~.5% chance of going all 25 turns with out dissolving. Clearly in large numbers some will remain. That's not the point. Now, the target actually has a chance to finish off the chaff. If they still can't do that by 75 turns... let 'em die.