View Single Post
  #12  
Old April 20th, 2008, 11:09 PM

VedalkenBear VedalkenBear is offline
Second Lieutenant
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 465
Thanks: 10
Thanked 16 Times in 14 Posts
VedalkenBear is on a distinguished road
Default Re: Does My Site Search Mage Know Something I Don\'

Certainly you can simulate it. I prefer a more theoretical approach.

If all of your provinces are unsearched, and you can cast Haruspex, where do you cast it? Probably on a Forest province, since it has a higher (I believe 0.25 higher) probability of containing a nature site. Which one doesn't matter.

This also ignores the different utility of different sites. E.g., searching underwater provinces with Haruspex, while not as guaranteed to find a site, has a not insignificant chance of discovering a fortress (Kelp Fortress). As such, would you preferentially search underwater sites with Haruspex, or not?

There are many variables, but since this is an allocation problem, it should be susceptible to LP in some form.
Reply With Quote