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You can't actually believe there is no benefit to being friendly with a more powerful nation. That's kind of a disingenuous thing to say, really. The reasons are far too numerous and obvious to list
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Yes, that's what Hitler said to his neighbors too... I don't say that it wasn't wise
for him to say so - it just wasn't wise for Poland, e.g., to listen.
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but don't tell me that you couldn't have used another 6 or 7 turns, because I don't believe that you are currently prepared for what I have coming for you!
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Yes, & you would be more ready by the time too. And as I've already said, you have more resources to spend on research, forging, etc. at the same time. So much for equalizers..
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we have no deal with you, or Lanka, or Abysia, or R'lyeh holding us back
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There was a topic about deal with Abysia some time ago..

In any case, as Claire

have quite correctly put out, you have enough power to dictate how any deal is should be read by now. And you Kailasa
had tried to make a deal with you - everybody can see how much it availed them...
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They would be more than ready for the coming late game. Like C'tis, like T'ien Ch'i, like Helheim.
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Actually, as I already pointed out, Tien Chi used quite the opposite approach - he didn't wait until I would explore conquered lands & grow stronger, but invaded me in time to be successful with it! C'tis also fought 2 opponents at once... As for Helheim I don't know his situation but suspect that he is
not ready for late game. In any case this wouldn't matter if you conquer enough victory points soon enough - which is quite possible!

Also I can repeat that I would be dead by now if I didn't invade Fomors from the beginning, & Kailasa used precisely the approach you recommend by making peace with Caelum to grow by conquering independents... Now Caelum can at least try to fight back & Kailasa is no more.

Another thing you conveniently forget is that Tien Chi & C'tis both made sure that they have some allies & this possibly added to their success.. One mistake I feel Abysia made is that they didn't made negotiations for alliance against you secret (via PM, for example) & didn't wait finishing of these negotiations before attacking you. On the other hand, it could be too late by that time...
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openly acknowledge and admire Kailasa and Ulm
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You are wrong once more - actually I missed at least 2 turns - 1 at the beginning & another one about 5 turns back...

I don't think that it was my main mistake - I should probably take time to scout my eastern neighbors & make some preliminary negotiations from the start, for example, so it doesn't matter. And pride is rightly considered a sin

- it may be your downfall here, for example...
