My pronostic is a victory of LA Agartha, due to Zeldor's permanent IRCeness ending in complete omniscience, and his superior diplomatic skills triggering frequent gifts of capitols.
In the bless category, I think the actually powerful nations whose main strength is *capitol only* sacreds will be the first victims of the midgame wars. I bet most will be out (or lose most of their lands at least) before turn 60.
Nations with non capitol sacreds or good mages are far superior than the ...heim nations on a big map.