[AreaOfEffect]

Sorry, it was a ill conceived prediction based on what I see. The primary forces of Ulm will surely be there when Ermor falls. Barring the use of army wide teleportation, the most convenient target for their invasion force would be Bogarus. Still, your army is nothing more then a revolving door of units which don't mean as much. It is the items and several key commanders that are most important, and I realize this.

Pythium would also be another candidate for Ulm/Pangaea's expansion. However, I deemed Bogarus the likely target because they have no ally and because Ulm has commented on their army, meaning that he has seen it in action. I did not mean to say that you had targeted Bogarus, but rather that you appeared to know more about them then you did of other bordering nations. Logic dictates that you would gravitate toward the known, rather then the unknown.

Yet still, this draws much more attention to the future then should be granted. What matters is what is happening now and the next few turns. Their are too many unknown factors to be sure of anything. Ermor is weakening, but not dead. Mictlan has won a battle, but certainly not the war. Bogarus has sent an army, but it may not be a dedicated effort. I can't say that anyone knows anything about Marignon. Let time tell the story.

Edit: By the way, we are indeed going mad...