[Ironhawk]

Death/Misfortune is fine so long as you dont run both to 3.

It all boils down to probabilities. The doomsday event is a plague in your capital - pretty much everything else is just annoying or inconvenient. Basically only on your very first turn of the game, when your only prov is your capital are you in serious danger. And I think that the devs said they actually protect against this for the first few turns? Once you have X provinces, your chance of your capital being plagued is only ever 1/X - and thats not even including the low chance of a plague happening as the event you get!

IMO, Death/Misfortune is a point mine.