Quote:
Originally Posted by Squirrelloid
assuming independent province by province checks with neutral scales, a 300 province territory should have a .9^300 chance for each event not happening, which as you might imagine is vanishingly small. (10^-14)
Ok, so we need a new model. Chris's model doesn't have any effect for empire size, so that clearly isn't right.
thejeff, is that data listing provinces in the order the events happened?
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I still don't get the criticism.
I'm suggesting first determine how many provinces get event checks. Then run each event check through a provinces event mask.
But I'll do some tests...