[Soyweiser]

I get what you are trying to say. I just disagree. And I disagree with how you selectively leave away information to build your point.

In your fantasy fairy simulation of the dominions game your points are valid. But not in the real dominions game.

If your capital gets hit on turn 5 with a 10% population reduction which also gives a healthy dose of unrest, you are set back a lot. Income wise. The earlier the game the higher the chance this happens. I already mentioned a lot of other bad effects of losing provinces, and I have thought of more, losing control of a province wrecks supply lines, and can make your movement harder.

You also only focus on barbarians. There are a lot more bad events. Misf unlocks new bad events, make events more likely, and makes bad events more likely.

I do not like that bad event synergy. And no fake math is going to convince me otherwise.