Yeah, fair cop.
I'm pretty sure I can preserve some form of territorial integrity and remain viable for maybe five more turns, but Helheim is playing well so I won't do better than 1:1 on average and he will grind me down with his much superior income (gold and gems) and then crush me under his boot heel like a tiny, insignificant bug
So yeah, I am good to call it - well played Austen!
Talking of victory conditions, I really do like "more than half the capitals, for three complete turns (e.g. not counting the turn that you take a capital)". Seems to work well to produce an outcome.