[Suhiir]

It seems "guided" weapons (LGBs, rockets, etc.) lock onto a specific target and thus hit or miss. Even with the frequent (50%?) chance of a reduced penetration hit they're still 50% probable to kill what they hit.

Whereas dumb bombs/napalm seem to attack a target hex, and anything within the blast radius may be effected. But since they rarely have have much, if any, any AP Pen armored vehicles are essentially immune. While soft vehicles are frequently effected infantry type units rarely suffer more then suppression. If you're trying to take out something like say a mortar merely suppressing the crew really doesn't have much effect ... a reduction in ROF for a turn or two. Napalm is GREAT at suppression but almost never causes casualties, and again after a turn or so that's worn off.

You don't dare try to drop bombs anywhere near your own units and suppressing something half way across the map for a couple turns hardly makes a 150-300+ point aircraft worth the cost.