That number is probably right in the "ball-park". You must remember
BELGUIM operates the original
MISTRAL (1) which was fielded in
1988.
MISTRAL 2 wasn't fielded until around
late 2001/early 2002 (Production was started in 2000.).
https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/d...issile-system/
The
higher probability numbers are driven by statements like the following...
"The Mistral MANPADS has a high kill probability. After firing more than
3 700 missiles of
all variants during training it has a success rate of
92-95%. This missile also has increased maneuverability (30G) at extreme speed. This air defense system also boasts increased flexibility during day and night and is deployable in standalone or in coordinated mode. The Mistral is operable in severe weather conditions." from the same ref, they list all the variants.
http://www.military-today.com/missiles/mistral.htm
The deals with the
MISTRAL 2...
"Compared to any other low-level air defence missile, Mistral is more reliable and successful.
It has a success rate of 93%." again same ref...
https://www.army-technology.com/proj...stral-missile/
At this writing, I'm not sure whether
France and the UK got the latest version
MISTRAL 3 which has a supposed
accuracy rate of 97%.
However I can confirm
SERBIA was the
first export customer to receive the
MISTRAL 3 in JUL 2019 from the ref above.
I actually believe that
MISTRAL (1) in
it's time, probably did have a higher hit probability in the
low 90% area against targets, again,
of it's time.
Dons ref points to
current time against "
smarter" targets of today. So for
MISTRAL (1) in todays target environment to score at about
86% is nothing short of "
spectacular" and speaks directly to it's
effectiveness for a system
BELGUIM never updated (Or
FRANCE) and that's
32 years old.
Regards,
Pat
