Well, I guess this will be my own "
White Paper".
So far, the
North Koreans are still in Russia and possibly be moving into Russian occupied territory in the Ukraine. It has already been
confirmed that North Korean officers are training and getting the "
lay of the land" in those occupied areas.
It is my belief
IF the decision is made to use the NK troops I feel the blow will come from one of two directions...
1) An attack from the
SE side of the KURSK Salient with the attack both to break the salient and with a strong task force to get behind/under the salient to cut off the retreat/or force it to occur with the mission to capture or destroy as much of the Ukrainian forces there.
2 With the current Russian offensive underway another option is to support a further offensive on the part of Russia to break the salient, that the NK to commit all their forces to either envelop the salient or cross the border to take
Ukrainian territory adjacent to the salient to take territory but more importantly engage the Ukrainian forces protecting the Eastern flank of the border and salient. In this case it would not allow for reinforcements from that direction but
more importantly force the Ukraine to make some
hard decisions on how to allocate their limited forces.
3 I would think a "
feint" in strength of a couple of divisions (Or more.)
200 - 300 miles further to the
SE along the current battle front a week or so before the two above
might draw off some Ukrainian forces from the above area. The
43rd Mech. Brigade can't be everywhere.
This is a race against time at best those forces if used for such an attack need to do it in less than two months before the weather turns everything to mud.
Not all is lost as the Ukraine will be getting almost two
fully trained divisions notably from France along with Poland and I
believe maybe Belgium or Denmark. They will arrive home
fully equipped in transit (France) or be "mated up" with prepositioned equipment.
Whatever the case the "
clock is ticking".
Why am I doing this? Just ask yourself when the last time in the modern era in a major operation sent infantry into action without its artillery.
https://www.armyrecognition.com/focu...cket-launchers
https://www.armyrecognition.com/news...oop-deployment
South Korea is now a player they have by now sent a team of
military and intelligence advisors into the Ukraine. Also, they
are not ruling out direct military equipment aid to the Ukrainians. South Korea is seeing this as a "
redline" which could destabilize the peninsula if not confronted in the Ukraine.
Poland they've been on "
higher level" of alert.
https://www.armyrecognition.com/news...russian-border
Up to
10 to 15K troops are still believed to be on the border with
Belarus the following is for
context and does a
good job to explain why.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66410230
Back to my "
Sat." off.
Regards,
Pat
