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October 16th, 2022, 09:51 AM
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BANNED USER
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Join Date: Apr 2020
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Also, we are being fed what one side wants us to see about the current war. The media is doing a fantastic job of selling the current war from the chosen side. We are not getting any impartial media reporting on anything related to that, so really, are we even getting any honest facts?
One reason we should wait until things end and then figure it out, but I know, I know folks want to have sides.
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October 16th, 2022, 10:39 PM
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Lieutenant Colonel
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Karagin
Also, we are being fed what one side wants us to see about the current war. The media is doing a fantastic job of selling the current war from the chosen side. We are not getting any impartial media reporting on anything related to that, so really, are we even getting any honest facts?
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That's the thing. It's 2022, not 1991.
We've got enough commercial satellites flying overhead that for example:
1.) We can get 1980s Cold War equivalent Spy Sat Imagery of a Russian Airfield a few days after a claimed Ukrainian Drone Attack. Results: Huge scorch marks near the airfield, and no airplanes (i.e. Tu-22M3s) of importance on the airfield, or aircraft wrecks -- indicating a failed attack.
2.) We can get overhead sat imagery of the Crimean Kerch Bridge a few days after the attack.
Plus, there's all the videos and pictures that everyone has been uploading since FEB 2022 on social media accounts:
Oryx has legitimately visually confirmed Russian tank losses:
But yes, Ukraine has done a better job of managing social media Information Operations -- casualties in Ukraine are high -- at least 15,000~ dead or so - maybe higher -- but it gets lost in the noise of Russian casualties.
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October 16th, 2022, 10:53 PM
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Lieutenant General
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Join Date: Oct 2008
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
I've actually seen interviews where the Ukrainian Gov't have acknowledged causalities at over +20K.
Everyone has a cell phone and in regard to I believe " STARLINK" Elon Musk he'll continue to eat the 20 million a month and keep the system up. We would call it a business expense he can use as a tax deduction for SpaceX.
I gotta get something else posted elsewhere-Good Night!!
Regards,
Pat
__________________
"If something is not impossible, there must be a way of doing it." - Sir Nicholas Winton
"Ex communi periculo, fraternitas" - My career long mentor and current friend -QMCM/SS M. Moher USN Ret..
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October 17th, 2022, 09:36 AM
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BANNED USER
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
You are missing the point. Everything coming out of the region is suspect because it's not vetted to remove a bias, and it's not being presented as fact. Anything from a Ukraine POV will show their side as excellent, and the same for the Russian side.
The same token from the Western (aka European and US) POV since many of those nations have already picked sides.
We can get all the information and collect all the data, but until it's done so in a manner to remove any personal dislike of either side, we will not have a factual account of the events. And telling me that social media is factual is insane.
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October 17th, 2022, 09:41 AM
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BANNED USER
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Are any of us in the TOCs and command posts to verify this? Or do we trust that what we are being told is honest? Are you telling me that footage uploaded to a social media account is vetted?
War is deception, and that hasn't changed.
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October 18th, 2022, 07:16 AM
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Lieutenant General
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Join Date: Apr 2007
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Karagin
War is deception, and that hasn't changed.
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So true.
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Suhiir - Wargame Junkie
People should not be afraid of their governments. Governments should be afraid of their people.
"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe." - Albert Einstein
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October 18th, 2022, 12:45 PM
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Corporal
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Re: Query for Don and Andy.
In light of the fact that the Russians were thin on the ground to begin with (except artillery) and a lot of the troops aren't regulars but Militias, Chechens, there was even supposedly a Cossack unit out there, they haven't done as badly as western media are reporting. We'll have to wait for the the dust to settle for a final analysis, but there has been so much baloney from both sides that this might indeed be impossible.
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George
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October 19th, 2022, 01:46 PM
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Re: Query for Don and Andy.
Main Russian problem is a) lack of infantry and b) practically non-existant reserves. Neither of these problems can be mirrored in the experience and morale of the active troops during the game's time frame (well, reservists are included and they have a 7 handicap to both XP and morale which is realistic, although maybe it could be a little lower).
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October 21st, 2022, 10:51 PM
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Corporal
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Suhiir
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
. . . Look what happened with the U.S. in the Vietnam War, the U.S.A. was considered one of the most powerful nations on earth, if not the most powerful, and the Vietnamese stopped them cold like a goal line stand in football. . .
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What is surprising is that it took so long for the politicians to realize it was a lost cause.
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Sometime as soon as the word Vietnam is mentioned it seems to me most ppl side slip into an alternate socialist & media created universe. The US military won in Vietnam, they stopped the North Vietnamese invasion and forced the North Vietnamese to the sign the Paris Peace Accords, thus bring the war to an end by the standards of the civilized world. The US military was then withdrawn, and North Vietnam launched a conventional attack, which the South Vietnamese repelled. The North Vietnamese retreated, reorganized and absorbed massive further imports of weapons from the Soviet Union and then launched a further attack. The US Senate then voted to deny South Vietnam the munitions they requested to continue resisting the North Vietnamese invasion. Lacking things like ammunition South Vietnamese units collapsed lacking the munitions the US Senate had denied them. And then the slaughter began. For example, I understand the Montanard, the original inhabitants of Vietnam before the Viet invaded, were almost exterminated. Much of the discussion here has been about political and media creation of perceived truth regarding Ukraine, look a little into the past. OUT
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October 22nd, 2022, 10:25 AM
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Lieutenant Colonel
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Re: Query for Dan and Andy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Karagin
We can get all the information and collect all the data, but until it's done so in a manner to remove any personal dislike of either side, we will not have a factual account of the events. And telling me that social media is factual is insane.
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You can get an amazing amount of information if you have a good "bs" detector going on.
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1583771154749087746
"DefMon" looked at a map to see where RU logistics might move out of HIMARS range and then ordered satellite images of those locations and got some hits.
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1...561088/photo/1
This is imagery that used to be the province of nation-states, and now an average joe can order the images for a couple hundred bucks.
Imagine what the imagery an actual nation-state like say, Vietnam, can order now with a open checkbook.
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