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				March 24th, 2004, 08:46 PM
			
			
			
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 First Lieutenant |  | 
					Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Bordeaux, France 
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				 Re: Tien Chi Default 
 
	Hmm. Well I think it should be cumulative. Even if at a lower base.Quote: 
	
		| Originally posted by rabelais: 
 quote:Originally posted by Norfleet:
 Hero acquisition is not cumulative. You get a 3% + luck chance of a hero every turn, as long as supplies permit. So if you have a 6%(w/ luck 3) chance of getting a hero this turn, you STILL have a 6% chance of getting one next turn. It's not going to be 12%. This means you have a 94% chance of NOT getting a hero on any given turn. So after 16 turns, you have a (0.94)^16 = 37% chance of not getting a hero. Hardly a hero every 16 turns or so. After 50 turns, you'll have a ~4.5% chance of not getting a hero. It can happen, but it's not lucky.
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 Make the difference between luck and misfortune more discernable.
 
 Rabe the Bummed
 The difference IS discernable, only there's a large uncertainty on when you'll get Heroes, if any.
 
 With Misfortune 2, you only have about 19% chance of getting a Hero in your 20 first turns.
 
 Misfortune 1: 33%
 
 Luck 0: 46%
 
 Luck 1: 56%
 
 Luck 2: 64%
 
 Luck 3: 71%
 
 Also, with the high luck Ratings, there is a decent chance that you will see more than one Hero in that amount of time, or maybe 30 turns. Not bad, if you have good Heroes.
 
 Of course, most of the time just your Heroes are not a good reason to take Luck. But the difference IS significant.
			
			
			
			
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