
April 11th, 2004, 06:05 PM
|
Major General
|
|
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 2,425
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
|
|
Re: luck events
Quote:
Originally posted by Minrhael:
Turn16: 1st national hero Bernlad the Green Knight. Now I play Tuatha a LOT, and I think this is the latest I've ever gotten my first national hero. I usually only play luck 1, with luck 3 I was expecting at least 2 by now. Anyone got that formula handy?
|
Getting a hero isn't really a random event, so to speak: It's not affected by random event frequency, only by luck scale.
The chance of getting a hero is equal to 3% + your luck scale. So if you have luck-3, you have a 6% noncumulative chance of receiving a hero every turn while supplies Last. Therefore, on average, you can expect to receive a hero every 16-17 turns. The chance of NOT receiving a hero in 16-17 turns is equal to 0.94^17, or 34%.
The frequency with which you are receiving heroes is roughly par for the course.
|