April 11th, 2004, 06:05 PM
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Major General
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Join Date: Jan 2004
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Re: luck events
Quote:
Originally posted by Minrhael:
Turn16: 1st national hero Bernlad the Green Knight. Now I play Tuatha a LOT, and I think this is the latest I've ever gotten my first national hero. I usually only play luck 1, with luck 3 I was expecting at least 2 by now. Anyone got that formula handy?
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Getting a hero isn't really a random event, so to speak: It's not affected by random event frequency, only by luck scale.
The chance of getting a hero is equal to 3% + your luck scale. So if you have luck-3, you have a 6% noncumulative chance of receiving a hero every turn while supplies Last. Therefore, on average, you can expect to receive a hero every 16-17 turns. The chance of NOT receiving a hero in 16-17 turns is equal to 0.94^17, or 34%.
The frequency with which you are receiving heroes is roughly par for the course. |
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