June 22nd, 2010, 03:24 AM
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BANNED USER
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 4,075
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Re: Luck/Turmoil versus Nothing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Squirrelloid
Quote:
Originally Posted by chrispedersen
1. Determine number of events.
2. Randomly choose province for event
3. Determine what events can happen (scales etc).
4. Check each possible event see if it happens.
5. Still have events remaining.. go to 2.
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1 is almost certainly wrong based on the data I have. If it predetermined the number of events, you'd be unlikely to see a binomial distribution (which you do see). (I mean, I suppose it could calculate the number of events based on a binomial distribution, but that doesn't seem like the kind of thing JK would have bothered to do. In fact, the only reason to do that is to fool people trying to figure out how events are generated. |
how is rolling four times (step one) not binomial? |