December 18th, 2024, 06:26 PM
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Lieutenant Colonel
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,433
Thanks: 104
Thanked 664 Times in 446 Posts
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Re: What happens in 2025? / new tactics- new technologies
https://x.com/RALee85/status/1869241376468353117
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Madyar says that the effectiveness of FPVs in Ukrainian and Russian units is between 20-40%. This is when an FPV hits a target, the munition detonates, and the strike is recorded/confirmed.
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Some commentary from another forum talking about the war:
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The claimed success rate has doubled or quadrupled over 2023, when they were talking around 10%, so countermeasures are implied to be losing ground. If fiber optic control becomes standard and/or autonomous guidance becomes commonplace the success/confirmation rate could conceivably double in 2025 over 2024 (game changing countermeasures in 2025 seem less likely, but who knows).
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