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January 26th, 2003, 06:59 AM
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National Security Advisor
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Re: The probability theory
Murpy's law has many variations. 
One:
"Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong. At the worst possible time and in the worst possible way."
Another:
"If there are two solutions to a problem, the wrong one will be picked first."
Phoenix-D
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Phoenix-D
I am not senile. I just talk to myself because the rest of you don't provide adequate conversation.
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January 26th, 2003, 07:09 AM
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Brigadier General
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Re: The probability theory
Well I can tell you about probabilities in the engineering industry. We have this saying "fifty-fifty-ninety"
It means whenever you have a fifty-fifty chance, 90% of the time you will guess wrong. And, from what I have seen, it is right!
Slick.
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Slick.
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January 26th, 2003, 08:49 AM
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Major
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Re: The probability theory
Quote:
Originally posted by Slick:
Well I can tell you about probabilities in the engineering industry. We have this saying "fifty-fifty-ninety"
It means whenever you have a fifty-fifty chance, 90% of the time you will guess wrong. And, from what I have seen, it is right!
Slick.
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Better to flip a coin then! 
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Know thyself.
Inscription at the Delphic Oracle.
Plutarch Morals
circa 650 B.C.
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January 26th, 2003, 09:03 AM
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Captain
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Re: The probability theory
Harumph! Murphy was an optimist!
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Those who can, do.
Those who can't, teach.
Those who can't teach, slag.
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January 26th, 2003, 09:06 AM
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Sergeant
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Re: The probability theory
but now your basing it on balanced percentages. if you flip a coin 100 times, will you get 50 heads and 50 tails? no. I read somewhere it would take many million flips for a balancing out to occur. And how would you know the first balancing out was accurate unless you did it a second time? manybe you would have to run that test millions of times before you got a true probability answer. 
You only explored 5 systems, and expect a 50/50?
I have over 80% of my game explored, and still have not found a gas giant race. (or a hydrogen breather of any kind).
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It's all just a perspective of matter.
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January 26th, 2003, 09:06 AM
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Major
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Re: The probability theory
Quote:
Originally posted by Grandpa Kim:
Harumph! Murphy was an optimist!
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IIRC Murphy's law is "If anything can go wrong, it will."
Now that is pessimism in spades. And you say he is an optimist?
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Inscription at the Delphic Oracle.
Plutarch Morals
circa 650 B.C.
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January 26th, 2003, 09:36 AM
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Major
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Re: The probability theory
Actually, what Ive heard is that Murphy (the scientist himself) is widely misquoted. He actually said (Ive heard) that if there are two ways of doing something, and one is wrong, someone will do it.
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When a cat is dropped, it always lands on its feet, and when toast is dropped, it always lands with the buttered side facing down. I propose to strap buttered toast to the back of a cat. The two will hover, spinning inches above the ground. With a giant buttered cat array, a high-speed monorail could easily link New York with Chicago.
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