Intelligence BS

[Tomgs]

I don't think is on a chance basis (except perhaps the puppet political parties and that was patched to be chance). The only thing that is left to chance is which project your counter intell targets and that could be first to Last order (I don't know how that is decided). If you have 10 counterintell operations going and he has 12 operations against you 2 of his operations will succeed no matter what. The reason I don't think there is chance invloved is that I have never had an Intell operation fail that wasn't countered by AI counterintell. So I don't think chance has anything to do with it. Did you try to do some intelligence sabotage? That does probably target a random intell operation so may get the one you want sometimes. If any other AI are also targeting you with intell this also counts against the counter intell you run so if one Empire ran 10 against you and another 4 you would never be able to counter all of them.