I'd say it's not looking good for getting an Ermor sub, which is a shame, as before their multiple stales, they were looking pretty good.
They had a great surprise attack against me (Marverni), taking lots of provinces and killing loads of valuable troops, and then followed it up the next turn taking more - but they lost their pretender and a fully equipped golem then too.
And the player has been AWOL ever since, so it might be poorly timed RL issues, or a failure to adhere to the "Baalz pledge" spirit. If it is the latter, that's a shame, as Ermor had a lot of tools still in left in the shed - at least two, if not more, of the Elemental Royalty, several of the Artifacts (and I think some very important ones), and the lead in research!
So too bad the player disappeared. And now after three stales in a row, and coming under attack, it is likely a losing proposition for any sub
But I guess it would still be nice to find someone who'd like to fool around with a "Custer's Last Stand" scenario, rather than setting Ermor AI (and watch the AI totally waste the assets the player built up before walking away).