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Old April 1st, 2004, 07:48 AM

Peter Ebbesen Peter Ebbesen is offline
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Default Re: On the effective early use of Pretenders in combat

Yes, velk, not surviving but NOT surviving. Glaring typo fixed.

As to your calculations, you are wrong.

5+1d6 being less than 2+1d6 happens for (1 5) (1 6) (2 6) which is 3 instances for a theoretical 8.33% rounded to two digits.

5+1d6 being less than or equal to 2+1d6 happens for (1 4) (1 5) (1 6) (2 5) (2 6) and (3 6) which is 6 instances for a theoretical 16.67% rounded to two digits, which is close enough to the experimenatal 16.725% used.

That a tie kills both contestants has been verified many times. It is just one of those risks concerned with not being stronger than the one rummaging through your mind.

I guess the meta-argument is not that you kill the other if you are stronger, but that you die unless you are stronger.
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