April 7th, 2004, 07:39 AM
|
|
First Lieutenant
|
|
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: CA
Posts: 744
Thanks: 0
Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post
|
|
Re: New map by Jason Lutes
Quote:
Originally posted by Truper:
quote: Originally posted by Jasper:
That's what I figured. It's the same source I have for my belief...
In retrospect it seems like you're more likely to be right, as with 40% sites it always seems like most provinces have sites. Then again, it seems like more than 13% of provinces have no sites...
|
I've always suspected, with no real basis other than the logic *I* would have gone by, that the increased chance of sites in mountain, etc. is counterbalanced by a reduced chance in farmlands. So that with 40% sites both most provinces having sites and more than 13% of provinces having none are both reasonable. Yeap, it is true. In fact only for farmlands (asuming farmland modifier is -20% and the site frequence is 40%) the chance that the standard farmland province has zero magic sites is 0.8*0.8*0.8*0.8 = 0,4096. (The probability formula is (100% - (40%-20%))^4 ) )
That means that in average 40% of all farmland provinces with such settings have zero magic sites.
|