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February 20th, 2008, 09:35 AM
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General
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Japan
Posts: 3,691
Thanks: 269
Thanked 397 Times in 200 Posts
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Re: Arthur! Monkey Outta Nowhere!
Bah, where has MaxWilson gone?!?! We need his professional statistical analysis! I am merely a student of crude approximations and random guesswork.
Thanks again Micah, once again you have helped clear up the mysteries.
Used a flightless Ice Devil, 20 arrows total: 3 "escapes".
Used an Air Queen (Thuella), 20 arrows total: 1 "escape".
So, conclusion #1, flight has nothing to do with it. Conclusion #2, I need more patience to generate enough results, probably 20 is not enough for a result with an expected occurrence of only 6%.
__________________
Whether he submitted the post, or whether he did not, made no difference. The Thought Police would get him just the same. He had committed— would still have committed, even if he had never set pen to paper— the essential crime that contained all others in itself. Thoughtcrime, they called it. Thoughtcrime was not a thing that could be concealed forever.
http://z7.invisionfree.com/Dom3mods/index.php?
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February 20th, 2008, 11:07 AM
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: R'lyeh
Posts: 3,861
Thanks: 144
Thanked 403 Times in 176 Posts
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Re: Arthur! Monkey Outta Nowhere!
Well, then forget what I wrote, maybe my commanders were just plain lucky. It was fun seeing so many gems wasted without any visual effect on my shock paratroopers. 
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February 20th, 2008, 11:40 AM
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General
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Japan
Posts: 3,691
Thanks: 269
Thanked 397 Times in 200 Posts
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Re: Arthur! Monkey Outta Nowhere!
Well, they probably at least carried a Pendant of Luck, right? So that gives them a 50% chance to escape. Then they get the 6% chance of no HP loss from 0 protection versus 8 damage.
Still, you'd need an awful lot of seeking arrows to take out something like an air queen in a province with other commanders in it!
__________________
Whether he submitted the post, or whether he did not, made no difference. The Thought Police would get him just the same. He had committed— would still have committed, even if he had never set pen to paper— the essential crime that contained all others in itself. Thoughtcrime, they called it. Thoughtcrime was not a thing that could be concealed forever.
http://z7.invisionfree.com/Dom3mods/index.php?
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